Sixth and last day of this first round of the League of Nations! This Wednesday, November 18 at the Stadion Grbavica in Sarajevo, Italy will try to confirm its return to the fore on the lawn of Bosnia and Herzegovina. After 5 matches, Squadra Azzurra leads the way with 9 units on the clock in group 1 but remains under threat from the Netherlands, 2nd with 8 points, and Poland, 3rd with 7 points.
The equation will therefore be very simple for Roberto Mancini’s men: a victory and qualification for the semi-finals will be acquired! The good news for the Italians is that they will be a way to Bosnia, last with 2 small points and without a win in this competition. Above all, Miralem Pjanic’s teammates have nothing more to hope for from this meeting and will, unfortunately, find League B during the next edition of the Nations League …
Italy has its destiny in hand: a victory and the Italian selection will reach the last four of the competition!
Bosnia, for its part, has nothing more to play: 4th with 2 points, the Bosnians are assured of the last place and will be relegated to League B!
In 5 games, Squadra Azzurra has conceded only 2 goals.
In 9 Nations League games, Italy has achieved 5 clean sheets and only scored more than 1 goal on one occasion.
Bosnia remains on 2 matches in a row without scoring: 0-2 in a friendly against Iran, 0-0 against the Netherlands in this Nations League.
Italy is clearly on the comeback and will be a nation to watch at the next Euro. For this last day on the lawn of an already eliminated Bosnia, the Italians just have to finish the job, and a solid victory, without conceding a goal but without inflicting a card either seems to us to be appropriate. The odds of the bet “1-0, 2-0 or 3-0” are higher than the odds of “Italy wins without conceding a goal”, and as Squadra Azzurra rarely scores over 3 goals, we start on the first!
Betting Tips: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.66
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