An unequaled duel awaits us on Thursday night in the UEFA Europa League. In group F there is a meeting between Arsenal and Vitoria Guimaraes. The odds of the bookmakers imply a clear favorite role in favor of the Londoners, who in every way the advantages on their side.
Arsenal vs Vitoria Guimaraes Today’s Free Betting Tips
After two matchdays, the “Gunners” stand at the maximum yield of six points. The goal difference of 7: 0 also speaks a clear language. On the other side, the Portuguese Primeira Liga has a team that has not had a counter on the credit side and also waits for their first goal.
Nonetheless, we have a hard time predicting Arsenal and Vitoria Guimaraes for the home team’s great success.
Among other things, this is due to the fact that coach Unai Emery will again and again exchange almost his entire team. So far, the supplement players and youngsters have mastered their job well, but of course there is danger of a total rotation always.
In addition, the Portuguese are a bit too bad for us. Vitoria conceded only three goals in eight European League games this season and ranked in fourth place in Portugal’s elite class. We therefore agree with the assessment of a home victory, we would in the duel Arsenal Vs. Vitoria Guimaraes but still decide for a tip that the victory does not succeed in conjunction with over 3.5 goals in this game.
Arsenal – Statistics & Current Form
The Arsenal Football Club spent 19 consecutive seasons between 1998 and 2017 in the group stage of the UEFA Champions League. In the past two years, however, it was enough only to qualify for the Europa League. If the “Gunners” nevertheless continue their way “step by step”, beckons in the summer of next year, the title and the associated start right to the premier class 2020/2021.
How do we come to this thesis? Very easily! The London failed in 2017/18 in the first attempt in the Europa League in the semifinals, before 2018/19 even lost the final against city rivals Chelsea.
Until then, however, is still a long, stony path to complete, but at least the prelude was for the team of coach Unai Emery absolutely on schedule. After two games Arsenal have the maximum yield of six points in the account. The 3-0 win on Matchday 1 at Eintracht Frankfurt followed a 4-0 win against Standard Liege two weeks later.
These two great successes are sometimes a reason that between Arsenal and Vitoria Guimaraes the odds were so clearly aligned in favor of the English. In addition, the Premier League top team naturally has more individual quality and has quite different ambitions than the Portuguese guest.
Nevertheless, one should not make the mistake and automatically conclude that Guimaraes is swept out of the domestic Emirates Stadium due to the significant victories against Frankfurt and Liege. Among other things, Coach Emery, who won the Europa League three times with Sevilla, will make some changes in the starting eleven again.
Compared to the embarrassing 0: 1 defeat on Monday night at Sheffield United, which also meant the first defeat since 24 August, again numerous youngsters or supplementary players are likely to come into use. Whether in particular the young offensive series with Willock, Saya and Martinelli will burn down a similar fireworks as three weeks ago against the Belgians, may critically be questioned, especially since the topic of constancy is a bigger one with younger players than with seasoned veterans.
We therefore do not doubt that the capital club will make a sovereign victory in front of their home crowd, but we would not be surprised if Arsenal defeated us. Vitoria Guimaraes still decide for the tip that – despite the mentioned favorites success – a maximum of 3.5 goals.
A goal for substitute keeper Martinez is statistically unimaginable anyway, because in the recent seven Europa League home games kept the “Gunners” the white. At home, the North Londoners also won six consecutive times in this competition; five times with a “clean sheet”.
With the exception of the former Hoffenheim loan Reiss Nelson all players are available. Alexandre Lacazette and Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang are expected to get a break on Thursday. We also do not expect Xhaka, Guendouzi, Leno and the entire back four from the beginning. Alternatives are Ceballos, Torreira, Mustafi, Tierney, Holding or Maitland-Niles.
Expected formation of Arsenal:
➥ Martinez; Maitland-Niles, Holding, Mustafi, Tierney; Torreira, Ceballos; Pepe, Willock, Saya; Martinelli
Last matches from Arsenal:
⚽️ 21.10.2019 – Sheffield United Vs. Arsenal 1: 0 (Premier League)
⚽️ 06.10.2019 – Arsenal Vs. Bournemouth 1: 0 (Premier League)
⚽️ 03.10.2019 – Arsenal Vs. Standard Liege 4: 0 (Europa League)
⚽️ 30.09.2019 – Manchester United Vs. Arsenal 1: 1 (Premier League)
⚽️ 24.09.2019 – Arsenal Vs. Nottingham Forest 5: 0 (League Cup)
Vitoria Guimaraes – Statistics & Current Form
Already after the draw it was clear that Vitoria Guimaraes would be the big outsider in Group F. Although the other three teams had quite respect for the team, which did not concede a single goal in six qualifiers, but it was aware that the fifth of the elapsed season in Portugal should be qualitatively inferior to the counterparty yet.
On the first two matchdays this impression was confirmed. Both at Standard Liege and at home against Eintracht Frankfurt, the Portuguese lost out and are already standing with their backs to the wall. Getting ahead has become a long way off, with the black and white being credited with having sold well in both matches.
In the away game in Belgium, for example, Guimaraes held just under 70 minutes in a goalless draw before a penalty put Walloon favorites in the lead. The goal to 2: 0 finally fell in stoppage time. Eintracht also struggled against a compact defending underdog and eventually won 1-0.
Combined with the fact that coach Ivo Vieira’s side did not concede in qualifying, we are now considering setting Arsenal and Vitoria Guimaraes to a home victory of three or under.
In the league, on the other hand, things are going well. After seven games, the black-whites have at least twelve points in the account and only lost once (three wins, three draws). The 0-3 draw at FC Porto was also the first and only national match in which Vieira’s charges conceded more than one goal.
The defense is definitely competitive, which is why we at Arsenal Vs. Vitoria Guimaraes consider the odds for a tighter home win more attractive than those for a runaway win. Only the staffing situation makes the guests something to worry about, because with Jhonatan, Sacko, Garcia, Wakaso, Musrati, Andre, Amoah, Teixeira, John and Aziz missing several players injured. An offensive orientation is therefore not to think.
Expected formation of Vitoria Guimaraes:
➥ Jesus; Soares, Tapsoba, Pedrao, Hanin; Edwards, Poka, Agu, Costa, Davidson; Bonatini
Last matches of Vitoria Guimaraes:
⚽️ 19.10.2019 – Sintra Vs. Vitoria Guimaraes 5: 4 n.E. (Taca de Portugal)
⚽️ 03.10.2019 – Vitoria Guimaraes Vs. Frankfurt 0: 2 (Europa League)
⚽️ 29.09.2019 – Vitoria Guimaraes Vs. Pacos de Ferreira 1-0 (Primeira Liga)
⚽️ 25.09.2019 – Benfica Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes 0: 0 (Taca de Liga)
⚽️ 22.09.2019 – Tondela vs. Vitoria Guimaraes 1: 3 (Primeira Liga)
Arsenal vs Vitoria Guimaraes Direct Comparison & Stats Highlights
Both teams have never faced each other in a competitive match. Arsenal have made regular good appearances in home games against Portuguese teams in recent years. The balance sheet is absolutely positive with four wins, a draw and a defeat.
In addition, in the last five matches the “Gunners” did not concede a single goal. The two appearances of Guimaraes in England, however, held two defeats (0: 2, 0: 5) against Portsmouth and Aston Villa ready.
Arsenal vs Vitoria Guimaraes Best Free Betting Tips Explained
Let’s face the betting odds of the bookmakers before Arsenal’s encounter with Vitoria Guimaraes, then the “Gunners” are likely to have an easy time on Thursday night as part of Matchday 3 of the Europa League group stage. In fact, there are no two opinions that the Londoners will, under normal circumstances, drive in a safe threesome.
Only the question, after which “how high?” Continues for us, because although the Emery-Elf swept away on the first two matchdays Liege and Frankfurt with a total of 7: 0 goals, we think it is not excluded that between Arsenal and Vitoria Guimaraes make a prediction on a relatively close success paid by the home side.
Key Facts – Arsenal vs Vitoria Guimaraes tips
🔎 Arsenal won the first two group games against Liege and Frankfurt 4-0 and 3: 0
🔎 Guimaraes conceded only three goals in nine European League games this year
🔎 The Gunners have never conceded a goal in their last five home matches against Portuguese clubs
Among other things, we base our assessment on the fact that the English were only on the pitch in the Premier League on Monday and will make a lot of changes compared to the 1-0 defeat at Sheiffield United. So far, the many youngsters could crowd in the center, but whether this always succeeds as three weeks ago in the 4-0 against Liège, remains open.
The bottom line is Arsenal vs Vitoria Guimares for the combined tip that the “Gunners” win, but do not fall more than three goals. The Portuguese provide a generally compact defensive that will try to keep the zero as long as possible.
Competition: Europa League, Group. F
Betting Tip: Arsenal & under 3.5 goals
Stake: 5/10 units